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Red111
244340.1
441544.3
905917.5
Blue65
764528.3
121226.1
6021.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114775010015011165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.2
44.444.6
Auto13.1
Teleop21.7
End9.5
red by 16.1
7645
#12
28.30.3
28.528.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.4
End6.6
Second
40.10.2
40.240.4
Auto9.8
Teleop24.5
End5.8
red by 14.1
1212
#10
26.10.3
26.326.1
Auto10.5
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Third
9059
#24
17.50.2
17.517.7
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End9.3
blue by 4.1
60
#16
21.60.3
21.921.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End5.7