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Red86
456520.7
212242.7
49835.9
Blue81
764528.3
121226.1
6021.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037740601201401601808681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.6
40.840.2
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End7.4
red by 14.4
7645
#12
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.4
End6.6
Second
498
#2
35.90.6
34.033.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End7.8
red by 9.8
1212
#10
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto10.5
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Third
4565
#21
20.70.6
18.718.1
Auto7.4
Teleop6.7
End6.6
blue by 1.0
60
#16
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End5.7