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Red137
66818.7
265947.1
603656.0
Blue99
696823.2
742632.5
413522.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135745010015020013799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.3
55.155.4
Auto12.5
Teleop35.5
End8.0
red by 23.5
32.50.5
32.232.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.1
End7.2
Second
47.10.3
46.346.6
Auto12.4
Teleop27.4
End7.4
red by 24.0
6968
#25
23.20.5
22.923.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Third
668
#26
18.70.3
17.818.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End7.6
blue by 4.0
4135
#19
22.70.5
22.422.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End5.6