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Red98
17325.2
9552.9
446736.8
Blue116
237044.3
107339.9
46740.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11713402004006008001,0001,20098116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#18
52.96.8
59.752.9
Auto10.1
Teleop31.9
End9.7
red by 8.6
2370
#39
44.37.6
51.944.3
Auto9.4
Teleop27.3
End6.2
Second
4467
#10
36.814.8
51.636.8
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End1.5
blue by 3.7
467
#53
40.62.4
42.940.6
Auto9.2
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Third
173
#50
25.22.2
23.025.2
Auto9.3
Teleop9.1
End7.0
blue by 14.7
1073
#11
39.97.1
47.039.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.6
End7.3