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Red142
19559.9
854420.5
17744.1
Blue97
856731.9
404840.8
673119.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13393020030040014297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#6
59.95.9
65.859.9
Auto12.4
Teleop38.5
End7.1
red by 19.1
4048
#31
40.88.8
49.540.8
Auto11.4
Teleop20.2
End9.0
Second
177
#59
44.114.2
58.444.1
Auto7.5
Teleop29.2
End6.4
red by 12.3
8567
#15
31.97.6
39.431.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End5.9
Third
8544
#61
20.513.1
33.620.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.1
End4.0
red by 1.4
6731
#30
19.14.6
14.519.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0