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Red137
490944.0
13839.7
31939.3
Blue124
271341.2
33331.2
279129.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410750150200137124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto13.1
Teleop23.7
End6.9
red by 2.7
2713
#58
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Second
138
#29
39.70.0
39.739.7
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
red by 8.5
333
#17
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.1
End6.3
Third
319
#8
39.30.0
39.339.3
Auto14.7
Teleop21.2
End3.2
red by 9.4
2791
#48
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End2.1