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Red146
457511.3
740762.9
69454.5
Blue90
174046.6
188017.7
404131.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329505015020014690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.93.7
66.662.9
Auto14.8
Teleop38.5
End7.1
red by 16.4
1740
#24
46.63.2
49.846.6
Auto10.1
Teleop28.6
End7.7
Second
694
#2
54.56.5
60.954.5
Auto8.9
Teleop39.8
End3.9
red by 23.4
4041
#21
31.19.8
40.931.1
Auto12.8
Teleop11.6
End6.7
Third
4575
#63
11.313.5
24.911.3
Auto2.8
Teleop9.1
End-0.2
blue by 6.3
1880
#28
17.72.8
14.917.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End2.8