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Red165
346760.4
870833.2
632853.2
Blue139
69454.5
841029.9
740762.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581410100200300400165139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.0
60.460.4
Auto15.0
Teleop35.4
End8.7
blue by 2.5
62.90.0
62.962.9
Auto14.8
Teleop38.5
End7.1
Second
6328
#12
53.20.0
53.253.2
Auto18.9
Teleop25.0
End8.8
blue by 1.2
694
#2
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto8.9
Teleop39.8
End3.9
Third
8708
#55
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End7.7
red by 3.3
8410
#38
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.7
End4.8