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Red157
208415.8
4845.0
808552.3
Blue146
7846.6
146843.8
691129.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116131050100150200250300157146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#13
52.34.2
56.552.3
Auto11.1
Teleop33.3
End7.2
red by 5.6
78
#37
46.67.2
53.846.6
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End10.5
Second
48
#7
45.06.5
51.545.0
Auto10.9
Teleop25.7
End7.5
red by 1.2
1468
#14
43.88.3
52.143.8
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End4.7
Third
2084
#51
15.86.6
22.515.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End6.5
blue by 14.0
6911
#45
29.812.7
42.629.8
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End5.5