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Red172
331458.9
12560.4
105828.7
Blue169
17744.1
632435.8
19559.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15414380100120160180200172169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#33
60.40.0
60.460.4
Auto14.1
Teleop36.3
End8.2
red by 0.5
195
#6
59.90.0
59.959.9
Auto12.4
Teleop38.5
End7.1
Second
58.90.0
58.958.9
Auto13.1
Teleop37.3
End7.3
red by 14.7
177
#59
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto7.5
Teleop29.2
End6.4
Third
1058
#32
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End6.5
blue by 7.1
6324
#35
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto11.9
Teleop18.1
End6.1