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Red124
4845.0
172933.1
105828.7
Blue117
808552.3
71633.2
234237.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138137110120130150160124117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#7
45.00.7
50.950.3
Auto10.9
Teleop25.7
End7.5
blue by 7.2
8085
#13
52.31.6
56.054.4
Auto11.1
Teleop33.3
End7.2
Second
1729
#25
33.10.7
36.736.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End8.9
blue by 4.0
2342
#22
37.11.6
38.937.3
Auto10.0
Teleop21.5
End6.3
Third
1058
#32
28.70.7
41.540.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End6.5
blue by 4.5
716
#23
33.21.6
35.834.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsMissed63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed