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Red99
632853.2
412230.6
870833.2
Blue115
490944.0
12622.0
856731.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14312805010020025099115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#12
53.22.2
57.555.2
Auto18.9
Teleop25.0
End8.8
red by 9.2
44.01.1
56.054.9
Auto13.1
Teleop23.7
End6.9
Second
8708
#55
33.22.2
38.236.0
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End7.7
red by 1.3
8567
#15
31.91.1
38.937.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End5.9
Third
4122
#41
30.62.2
37.034.7
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.2
red by 8.6
126
#54
22.01.1
27.326.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed70%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed