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Red132
841029.9
346760.4
362314.0
Blue94
856731.9
226222.1
7846.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11612540608010014016018013294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.5
63.463.9
Auto15.0
Teleop35.4
End8.7
red by 13.8
78
#37
46.61.5
52.851.4
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End10.5
Second
8410
#38
29.90.5
32.733.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.7
End4.8
blue by 2.0
8567
#15
31.91.5
37.836.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End5.9
Third
3623
#60
14.00.5
14.114.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.3
End2.8
blue by 8.1
2262
#47
22.11.5
25.323.9
Auto11.5
Teleop4.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned