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Red123
693331.0
9552.9
71633.2
Blue129
287736.4
69454.5
31939.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130169050100150200250123129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#18
52.91.1
56.955.7
Auto10.1
Teleop31.9
End9.7
blue by 1.5
694
#2
54.51.9
57.855.9
Auto8.9
Teleop39.8
End3.9
Second
716
#23
33.21.1
34.333.1
Auto7.7
Teleop17.5
End7.4
blue by 6.0
319
#8
39.31.9
55.453.4
Auto14.7
Teleop21.2
End3.2
Third
6933
#56
31.01.1
37.136.0
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End3.9
blue by 5.4
2877
#40
36.41.9
45.843.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsMissed96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed