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Red111
234237.1
581340.7
12622.0
Blue117
673119.1
173537.5
7846.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911150100150200111117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#19
40.70.3
46.646.3
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End8.0
blue by 5.9
78
#37
46.60.4
51.451.8
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End10.5
Second
2342
#22
37.10.3
37.236.9
Auto10.0
Teleop21.5
End6.3
blue by 0.4
1735
#42
37.50.4
38.839.2
Auto9.5
Teleop20.7
End7.0
Third
126
#54
22.00.3
27.026.6
Auto8.7
Teleop9.0
End4.5
red by 2.9
6731
#30
19.10.4
15.616.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsMissed54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned