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Red69
17744.1
8840.3
854420.5
Blue112
105828.7
404840.8
17522.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14110205020025069112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#59
44.13.9
45.741.8
Auto7.5
Teleop29.2
End6.4
red by 3.4
4048
#31
40.80.2
44.644.4
Auto11.4
Teleop20.2
End9.0
Second
88
#20
40.33.9
58.754.7
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End9.1
red by 11.6
1058
#32
28.70.2
34.534.3
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End6.5
Third
8544
#61
20.53.9
24.520.6
Auto7.7
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 1.7
175
#52
22.20.2
21.521.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned