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Red115
46740.6
856731.9
673119.1
Blue134
490944.0
146843.8
331458.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86179050100150200250115134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#53
40.61.5
37.338.8
Auto9.2
Teleop24.8
End6.7
blue by 18.3
58.91.5
62.360.7
Auto13.1
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Second
8567
#15
31.91.5
39.040.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End5.9
blue by 12.1
44.01.5
54.252.7
Auto13.1
Teleop23.7
End6.9
Third
6731
#30
19.11.5
16.017.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
blue by 24.7
1468
#14
43.81.5
46.244.7
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned