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Red107
174046.6
13839.7
242323.0
Blue102
23839.5
17325.2
234237.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118106050150200250300350107102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#24
46.60.8
42.842.0
Auto10.1
Teleop28.6
End7.7
red by 7.1
238
#34
39.50.9
41.040.2
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End8.0
Second
138
#29
39.70.8
42.741.9
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
red by 2.6
2342
#22
37.10.9
36.936.1
Auto10.0
Teleop21.5
End6.3
Third
2423
#36
23.00.8
23.522.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End4.9
blue by 2.2
173
#50
25.20.9
23.122.2
Auto9.3
Teleop9.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsMissed