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Red199
69454.5
50124.9
8840.3
Blue120
331458.9
632853.2
13839.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14316050100200250199120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
54.51.4
56.057.4
Auto8.9
Teleop39.8
End3.9
blue by 4.4
58.91.9
60.758.8
Auto13.1
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Second
88
#20
40.31.4
54.756.2
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End9.1
blue by 12.9
6328
#12
53.21.9
50.248.3
Auto18.9
Teleop25.0
End8.8
Third
501
#44
24.91.4
25.627.1
Auto6.3
Teleop12.5
End6.4
blue by 14.8
138
#29
39.71.9
41.940.0
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned