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Red127
55821.0
7846.6
412230.6
Blue153
172933.1
740762.9
404131.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100139050150200127153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#37
46.60.5
48.649.1
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End10.5
blue by 16.3
62.91.2
60.561.8
Auto14.8
Teleop38.5
End7.1
Second
4122
#41
30.60.5
31.031.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.2
blue by 2.5
1729
#25
33.11.2
30.832.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End8.9
Third
558
#57
21.00.5
19.319.9
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End3.3
blue by 10.1
4041
#21
31.11.2
36.337.6
Auto12.8
Teleop11.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned