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Red90
719016.2
35951.5
71739.3
Blue74
425340.7
778712.9
511813.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705801001509074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
51.52.8
32.235.0
Auto13.2
Teleop30.3
End8.1
red by 10.8
40.71.5
24.425.9
Auto15.1
Teleop18.7
End7.0
Second
7190
#16
16.22.8
15.518.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End7.9
red by 3.2
5118
#30
13.01.5
13.114.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End5.0
Third
7173
#29
9.32.8
16.719.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End2.4
blue by 3.5
7787
#23
12.91.5
18.419.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsEarned