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Red104
929217.7
728729.7
186830.9
Blue67
833923.3
21612.6
325624.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576420408010010467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.94.9
24.229.1
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End6.9
red by 6.0
3256
#26
24.90.3
23.123.5
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End5.1
Second
29.74.9
16.020.9
Auto12.1
Teleop11.8
End5.9
red by 6.4
8339
#19
23.30.3
16.216.6
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Third
9292
#22
17.74.9
14.319.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End4.8
red by 5.1
216
#31
12.60.3
19.619.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed