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Red162
291074.4
746139.3
204671.1
Blue145
241256.2
999042.3
292832.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18112450100150200250162145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.40.3
74.774.4
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End7.3
red by 18.2
56.20.2
56.056.2
Auto13.0
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Second
71.10.3
71.471.1
Auto16.1
Teleop46.0
End5.2
red by 28.8
42.30.2
42.042.3
Auto9.3
Teleop27.7
End5.7
Third
7461
#24
39.30.3
39.639.3
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 7.0
2928
#18
32.30.2
32.132.3
Auto14.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4