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Final 12023 Bordie Charged
Red186
291074.4
746139.3
204671.1
Blue168
241256.2
999042.3
292832.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18212050100150200250186168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#1
74.40.2
74.5→74.7
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End7.3
red by 18.2
2412
#3
56.20.8
55.2→56.0
Auto13.0
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Second
2046
#2
71.10.2
71.2→71.4
Auto16.1
Teleop46.0
End5.2
red by 28.8
9990
#7
42.30.8
41.3→42.0
Auto9.3
Teleop27.7
End5.7
Third
7461
#24
39.30.2
39.4→39.6
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 7.0
2928
#18
32.30.8
31.3→32.1
Auto14.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4