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Qual 112023 Bordie Charged
Red96
49242.2
131851.8
824821.4
Blue140
291074.4
408929.2
491137.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14014310012016018096140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#16
51.82.6
62.8→60.2
Auto13.7
Teleop30.3
End5.9
blue by 22.6
2910
#1
74.40.5
73.1→72.7
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End7.3
Second
492
#9
42.22.6
45.7→43.2
Auto9.3
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 4.6
4911
#8
37.60.5
46.0→45.5
Auto7.7
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Third
8248
#28
21.42.6
26.7→24.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End4.7
blue by 7.9
4089
#12
29.20.5
23.9→23.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsMissed88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned