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Qual 122023 Bordie Charged
Red96
854624.8
593729.5
212239.0
Blue139
204671.1
418021.7
999324.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068105015020025030096139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#10
39.00.3
45.7→45.3
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End10.2
blue by 32.1
2046
#2
71.12.2
65.9→68.0
Auto16.1
Teleop46.0
End5.2
Second
5937
#22
29.50.3
26.2→25.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 5.0
9993
#15
24.53.6
20.4→24.1
Auto2.0
Teleop15.9
End7.1
Third
8546
#21
24.80.3
24.2→23.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End6.8
red by 3.1
4180
#27
21.72.2
15.0→17.2
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned