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Red75
292618.3
255737.6
999212.5
Blue123
252230.3
644345.1
468242.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54138010015020025075123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#19
37.60.7
25.926.7
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End7.3
blue by 7.6
45.10.0
36.536.5
Auto12.8
Teleop24.1
End8.1
Second
2926
#32
18.30.7
20.521.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.4
End5.7
blue by 24.4
42.70.0
43.043.0
Auto15.9
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Third
9992
#26
12.51.2
17.718.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End4.1
blue by 17.9
2522
#17
30.30.0
38.138.1
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned