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Red66
321850.8
189927.6
408929.2
Blue98
999717.9
177847.2
49242.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321030501502002506698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#11
50.83.4
55.652.2
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End9.4
red by 3.5
47.21.0
47.746.6
Auto12.4
Teleop26.0
End9.4
Second
4089
#12
29.23.4
23.420.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.3
End8.5
blue by 13.0
492
#9
42.21.0
43.242.2
Auto9.3
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Third
1899
#30
27.63.4
38.435.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End5.4
red by 9.7
9997
#14
17.91.7
17.515.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed