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Red82
131851.8
94835.1
292832.3
Blue57
903620.5
746139.3
998817.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156940502002508257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#16
51.83.7
60.256.5
Auto13.7
Teleop30.3
End5.9
red by 12.5
7461
#24
39.32.2
49.947.7
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
Second
948
#20
35.13.7
45.341.6
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End5.4
red by 14.7
9036
#29
20.52.2
27.525.3
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End4.5
Third
2928
#18
32.33.7
31.928.2
Auto14.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
red by 14.8
9988
#31
17.53.6
12.38.7
Auto8.1
Teleop4.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed