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Red106
644345.1
824821.4
999324.5
Blue133
321850.8
49242.2
255737.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701400100200300400106133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.1
36.537.6
Auto12.8
Teleop24.1
End8.1
blue by 5.6
3218
#11
50.80.8
52.253.0
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End9.4
Second
9993
#15
24.51.8
24.125.9
Auto2.0
Teleop15.9
End7.1
blue by 17.7
492
#9
42.20.8
42.243.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Third
8248
#28
21.41.1
24.125.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End4.7
blue by 16.2
2557
#19
37.60.8
26.727.5
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned