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Red113
204671.1
998817.5
999212.5
Blue85
177847.2
292618.3
189927.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8911502004006008001,0001,20011385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.11.2
68.069.2
Auto16.1
Teleop46.0
End5.2
red by 23.9
47.21.9
46.644.8
Auto12.4
Teleop26.0
End9.4
Second
9988
#31
17.51.9
8.710.6
Auto8.1
Teleop4.1
End5.8
blue by 10.1
1899
#30
27.61.9
35.033.1
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End5.4
Third
9992
#26
12.51.9
18.920.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End4.1
blue by 5.8
2926
#32
18.31.9
21.219.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned41%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned