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Red88
999042.3
189927.6
999212.5
Blue154
94835.1
418021.7
291074.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6714005010020025030088154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.1
38.538.4
Auto9.3
Teleop27.7
End5.7
blue by 32.1
74.41.2
73.674.8
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End7.3
Second
1899
#30
27.60.1
29.229.1
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End5.4
blue by 7.5
948
#20
35.11.2
40.641.8
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End5.4
Third
9992
#26
12.50.1
21.121.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End4.1
blue by 9.2
4180
#27
21.71.2
16.918.1
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsEarned