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Red101
241256.2
252230.3
746139.3
Blue113
49242.2
854624.8
644345.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451160200300400500101113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.22.0
56.454.4
Auto13.0
Teleop32.8
End9.8
red by 11.1
45.10.3
41.742.1
Auto12.8
Teleop24.1
End8.1
Second
7461
#24
39.32.0
40.838.8
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
blue by 2.9
492
#9
42.20.3
43.744.1
Auto9.3
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Third
2522
#17
30.32.0
33.831.8
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End6.9
red by 5.5
8546
#21
24.80.3
22.723.0
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsMissed