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Red111
204671.1
999717.9
903620.5
Blue78
999324.5
468242.7
292618.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068305015020025011178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.10.4
71.571.9
Auto16.1
Teleop46.0
End5.2
red by 28.4
42.70.9
42.541.6
Auto15.9
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Second
9036
#29
20.50.4
23.223.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End4.5
blue by 4.1
9993
#15
24.51.4
29.127.7
Auto2.0
Teleop15.9
End7.1
Third
9997
#14
17.90.7
9.910.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.6
blue by 0.4
2926
#32
18.30.9
19.318.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
68%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsMissed