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Red97
408929.2
292618.3
299026.8
Blue125
999324.5
241256.2
131851.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6414005010020025097125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#12
29.21.7
26.127.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.3
End8.5
blue by 27.0
56.20.1
52.952.8
Auto13.0
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Second
2990
#13
26.81.7
23.225.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End8.7
blue by 24.9
1318
#16
51.80.1
51.251.2
Auto13.7
Teleop30.3
End5.9
Third
2926
#32
18.31.7
16.618.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.4
End5.7
blue by 6.2
9993
#15
24.50.1
22.722.6
Auto2.0
Teleop15.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned