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Red198
291074.4
746139.3
204671.1
Blue112
854624.8
255737.6
999717.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187630100150250300198112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.40.5
73.574.0
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End7.3
red by 36.8
2557
#19
37.60.8
36.237.0
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End7.3
Second
71.10.5
70.370.8
Auto16.1
Teleop46.0
End5.2
red by 46.3
8546
#21
24.80.8
23.524.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End6.8
Third
7461
#24
39.30.5
38.538.9
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 21.4
9997
#14
17.90.8
16.517.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.6