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Red141
468242.7
999625.1
321850.8
Blue86
408929.2
491137.6
252230.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1299905015020014186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#11
50.80.5
50.250.7
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End9.4
red by 13.2
37.60.5
36.235.7
Auto7.7
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Second
42.70.5
42.142.7
Auto15.9
Teleop20.1
End6.8
red by 12.4
2522
#17
30.30.5
29.028.5
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End6.9
Third
9996
#23
25.10.5
24.625.1
Auto10.0
Teleop10.0
End5.5
blue by 4.1
4089
#12
29.20.5
27.827.3
Auto8.9
Teleop12.3
End8.5