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Red175
292832.3
999042.3
241256.2
Blue132
212239.0
94835.1
131851.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712790100110120140150160170175132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.0
52.853.8
Auto13.0
Teleop32.8
End9.8
red by 4.4
1318
#16
51.80.2
51.251.3
Auto13.7
Teleop30.3
End5.9
Second
42.31.0
38.939.9
Auto9.3
Teleop27.7
End5.7
red by 3.3
2122
#10
39.00.2
38.438.6
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End10.2
Third
2928
#18
32.31.0
28.929.9
Auto14.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
blue by 2.8
948
#20
35.10.2
34.534.7
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End5.4