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Red120
999324.5
49242.2
299026.8
Blue125
252230.3
491137.6
408929.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999860708090110120130140120125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#9
42.20.6
41.642.2
Auto9.3
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 4.6
37.60.7
36.136.9
Auto7.7
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Second
2990
#13
26.80.6
26.226.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End8.7
blue by 3.5
2522
#17
30.30.7
28.929.6
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End6.9
Third
9993
#15
24.50.6
23.924.5
Auto2.0
Teleop15.9
End7.1
blue by 4.7
4089
#12
29.20.7
27.828.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.3
End8.5