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Red185
291074.4
746139.3
204671.1
Blue150
241256.2
999042.3
292832.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182116050100150200250300185150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.40.3
74.374.5
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End7.3
red by 18.2
56.20.2
54.354.5
Auto13.0
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Second
71.10.3
71.071.2
Auto16.1
Teleop46.0
End5.2
red by 28.8
42.30.2
40.440.6
Auto9.3
Teleop27.7
End5.7
Third
7461
#24
39.30.3
39.239.4
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 7.0
2928
#18
32.30.2
30.430.6
Auto14.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4