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Red122
408929.2
491137.6
252230.3
Blue106
212239.0
94835.1
131851.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99144050200250122106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.4
36.937.2
Auto7.7
Teleop21.4
End8.7
blue by 14.2
1318
#16
51.80.5
52.351.8
Auto13.7
Teleop30.3
End5.9
Second
2522
#17
30.30.4
29.630.0
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End6.9
blue by 8.7
2122
#10
39.00.5
39.539.0
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End10.2
Third
4089
#12
29.20.4
28.528.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.3
End8.5
blue by 5.9
948
#20
35.10.5
35.635.1
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End5.4