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Red105
999717.9
255737.6
854624.8
Blue111
408929.2
491137.6
252230.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791050200300400105111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#19
37.60.6
37.037.6
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End7.3
Level
37.60.4
35.736.1
Auto7.7
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Second
8546
#21
24.80.6
24.324.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End6.8
blue by 5.5
2522
#17
30.30.4
28.528.9
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End6.9
Third
9997
#14
17.90.6
17.317.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.6
blue by 11.3
4089
#12
29.20.4
27.327.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.3
End8.5