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Red151
131851.8
94835.1
212239.0
Blue138
593729.5
177847.2
644345.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134136100110120130140150160170151138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#16
51.80.5
51.351.8
Auto13.7
Teleop30.3
End5.9
red by 4.6
47.20.3
47.047.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.0
End9.4
Second
2122
#10
39.00.5
38.639.0
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End10.2
blue by 6.1
45.10.3
44.945.1
Auto12.8
Teleop24.1
End8.1
Third
948
#20
35.10.5
34.735.2
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End5.4
red by 5.6
5937
#22
29.50.3
29.329.5
Auto10.3
Teleop14.7
End4.5