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Red183
291074.4
746139.3
204671.1
Blue120
321850.8
999625.1
468242.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18011950100150200250183120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.40.2
74.074.3
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End7.3
red by 23.6
3218
#11
50.80.2
50.750.5
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End9.4
Second
71.10.2
70.871.0
Auto16.1
Teleop46.0
End5.2
red by 28.4
42.70.2
42.742.4
Auto15.9
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Third
7461
#24
39.30.2
38.939.2
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 14.2
9996
#23
25.10.2
25.124.9
Auto10.0
Teleop10.0
End5.5