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Red148
292832.3
999042.3
241256.2
Blue96
299026.8
49242.2
999324.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1278905010015020014896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.5
53.854.3
Auto13.0
Teleop32.8
End9.8
red by 14.0
492
#9
42.20.1
41.541.6
Auto9.3
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Second
42.30.5
39.940.4
Auto9.3
Teleop27.7
End5.7
red by 15.4
2990
#13
26.80.1
26.126.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End8.7
Third
2928
#18
32.30.5
29.930.4
Auto14.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
red by 7.8
9993
#15
24.50.1
23.823.9
Auto2.0
Teleop15.9
End7.1