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Red185
704227.6
715764.2
441465.4
Blue143
207346.5
441555.8
665723.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17113150100150200250185143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.2
64.764.9
Auto13.0
Teleop43.7
End8.5
red by 9.6
55.80.0
56.756.6
Auto17.3
Teleop30.0
End8.3
Second
64.20.2
63.563.6
Auto12.7
Teleop42.9
End8.4
red by 17.7
46.50.0
47.347.3
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End7.4
Third
7042
#28
27.60.2
26.927.0
Auto11.8
Teleop8.8
End7.0
red by 4.3
6657
#22
23.30.0
24.224.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.5
End6.4