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Red140
665723.3
441555.8
207346.5
Blue122
351251.2
265949.8
119720.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137129100120160180140122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.80.3
56.456.7
Auto17.3
Teleop30.0
End8.3
red by 4.6
3512
#10
51.20.1
51.351.2
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End8.6
Second
46.50.3
47.047.3
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End7.4
blue by 3.3
49.80.1
49.949.8
Auto13.0
Teleop30.1
End6.5
Third
6657
#22
23.30.3
23.924.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.5
End6.4
red by 2.9
1197
#20
20.40.1
20.520.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End6.7