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Red101
237521.6
908444.4
347655.8
Blue136
351251.2
265949.8
119720.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132128100120140160101136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.80.6
56.455.8
Auto15.2
Teleop32.6
End7.9
red by 4.6
3512
#10
51.20.3
51.051.3
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End8.6
Second
44.40.6
45.044.4
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End7.8
blue by 5.4
49.80.3
49.649.9
Auto13.0
Teleop30.1
End6.5
Third
2375
#25
21.60.6
22.221.6
Auto8.8
Teleop7.1
End5.7
red by 1.1
1197
#20
20.40.3
20.220.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End6.7