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Red172
704227.6
715764.2
441465.4
Blue144
207346.5
441555.8
665723.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170129100150200172144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.3
64.464.7
Auto13.0
Teleop43.7
End8.5
red by 9.6
55.80.4
56.056.4
Auto17.3
Teleop30.0
End8.3
Second
64.20.3
63.263.5
Auto12.7
Teleop42.9
End8.4
red by 17.7
46.50.4
46.647.0
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End7.4
Third
7042
#28
27.60.3
26.626.9
Auto11.8
Teleop8.8
End7.0
red by 4.3
6657
#22
23.30.4
23.523.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.5
End6.4