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Red117
237521.6
908444.4
347655.8
Blue105
469839.9
68750.6
39925.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341236080100160180200117105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.80.2
56.656.4
Auto15.2
Teleop32.6
End7.9
red by 5.2
687
#9
50.60.3
50.950.6
Auto9.9
Teleop33.0
End7.7
Second
44.40.2
45.245.0
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End7.8
red by 4.5
39.90.3
40.239.9
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End7.4
Third
2375
#25
21.60.2
22.322.2
Auto8.8
Teleop7.1
End5.7
blue by 3.7
399
#26
25.30.3
25.525.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End4.1